Assumptions for long-term stochastic population forecasts in 18 European countries
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Assumptions for long-term stochastic population forecasts in 18 European countries
The aim of the 'Uncertain Population of Europe'(UPE) project was to compute long-term stochastic (probabilistic) population forecasts for 18 European countries. We developed a general methodology for constructing predictive distributions for fertility, mortality and migration. The assumptions underlying stochastic population forecasts can be assessed by analysing errors in past forecasts or mod...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: European Journal of Population / Revue européenne de Démographie
سال: 2007
ISSN: 0168-6577,1572-9885
DOI: 10.1007/s10680-006-9104-4